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the.world.is.flat-第13部分
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opportunities for women; which then affects the political dialogue and gives women
the opportunity for a greater role in local self…government。〃
Finally; the fall of the wall did not just open the way for more people
to tap into one another's knowledge pools。 It also paved the way for the adoption
of common standards…standards onhow economies should be run; onhow accounting should
be done; on how banking should be conducted; on how PCs should be made; and on how
economics papers should be written。 I discuss this more later; but suffice it to say
here that common standards create a flatter; more level playing field。 To put it
another way; the fall of the wall enhanced the free movement of best practices。 When
an economic or technological standard emerged and proved itself on the world stage;
it was much more quickly adopted after the wall was out of the way。 In Europe alone;
the fall of the wall opened the way for the formation of the European Union and its
expansion from fifteen to twenty…five countries。 That; in combination with the advent
of the euro as a common currency; has created a single economic zone out of a region
once divided by an Iron Curtain。
While the positive effects of the wall coming down were immediately apparent; the
cause of the wall's fall was not so clear。 There was no single cause。 To some degree
the termites just ate away at the foundations of the Soviet Union; which were already
weakened by the system's own internal contradictions and inefficiencies; to some
degree the Reagan administration's military buildup in Europe forced the Kremlin to
bankrupt itself paying for warheads; and to some degree Mikhail Gorbachev's hapless
efforts to reform something that was unreformable brought communism to an end。 But
if I had to point to one factor as first among equals; itwas the information revolution
that began in the early…to mid…1980s。 Totalitarian systems depend on a monopoly of
information and force; and too much information started to slip through the Iron
Curtain; thanks to the spread of fax machines; telephones; and other modern tools
of communication。
A critical mass of IBM PCs; and the Windows operating system that brought them to
life; came together in roughly this same time period that the wall fell; and their
diffusion put the nail in the coffin of communism; because they vastly improved
horizontal communication…to the detriment of the exclusively top…down form that
communism was based upon。 They also greatly enhanced personal information gathering
and personal empowerment。 (Each component of this information revolu
tion was brought about by separate evolutions: The phone network evolved from the
desire of people to talk to each other over long distances。 The fax machine evolved
as a way to transmit written communication over the phone network。 The PC was diffused
by the original killer apps…spreadsheets and word processing。 And Windows evolved
out of the need to make all of this usable; and programmable; by the masses。)
The first IBM PC hit the markets in 1981。 At the same time; many computer scientists
around the world had started using these things called the Internet and e…mail。 The
first version of the Windows operating system shipped in 1985; and the real
breakthrough version that made PCs truly user…friendly…Windows 3。0…shipped on May
22; 1990; only six months after the wall went down。 In this same time period; some
people other than scientists started to discover that if they bought a PC and a dial…up
modem; they could connect their PCs to their telephones and send e…mails through
private Internet service providers…like CompuServe and America Online。
〃The diffusion of personal computers; fax machines; Windows; and dial…up modems
connected to a global telephone network all came together in the late 1980s and early
1990s to create the basic platform that started the global information revolution;〃
argued Craig J。 Mundie; the chief technology officer for Microsoft。 The key was the
melding of them all together into a single interoperable system。 That happened; said
Mundie; once we had in crude form a standardized computing platform…the IBM PC…along
with a standardized graphical user interface for word processing and
spreadsheets…Windows…along with a standardized tool for communication…dial…up
modems and the global phone network。 Once we had that basic interoperable platform;
then the killer applications drove its diffusion far and wide。
〃People found that they really liked doing all these things on a computer; and they
really improved productivity;〃 said Mundie。 〃They all had broad individual appeal
and made individual people get up and buy a Windows…enabled PC and put it on their
desk; and that forced the diffusion of this new platform into the world of corporate
computing even more。 People said; 'Wow; there is an asset here; and we should take
advantage of it。'〃
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The more established Windows became as the primary operating system; added Mundie;
〃the more programmers went out and wrote applications for rich…world businesses to
put on their computers; so they could do lots of new and different business tasks;
which started to enhance productivity even more。 Tens of millions of people around
the world became programmers to make the PC do whatever they wanted in their own
languages。 Windows was eventually translated into thirty…eight languages。 People
were able to become familiar with the PC in their own languages。〃
This was all new and exciting; but we shouldn't forget how constricted this early
PC…Windows…modem platform was。 〃This platform was constrained by too many
architectural limits;〃 said Mundie。 〃There was missing infrastructure。〃 The Internet
as we know it today…with seemingly magical transmission protocols that can connect
everyone and everything…had not yet emerged。 Back then; networks had only very basic
protocols for exchangingfiles and e…mail messages。 Sopeople who were using computers
with the same type of operating systems and software could exchange documents through
e…mail orfile transfers; but even doing this was tricky enough that only the computing
elite took the trouble。 You couldn't just sit down and zap an e…mail or a file to
anyone anywhere…especially outside your own company or outside your own Internet
service…the way you can today。 Yes; AOL users could communicate withCompuServe users;
but it was neither simple nor reliable。 As a result; said Mundie; a huge amount of
data and creativity was accumulating in all those computers; but there was no easy;
interoperable way to share it and mold it。 People could write new applications that
allowed selected systems to work together; but in general this was limited to planned
exchanges between PCs within the network of a single company。
This period from 11/9 to the mid…1990s still led to a huge advance in personal
empowerment; even if networks were limited。 It was the age of 〃Me and my machine can
now talk to each other better and faster; so that I personally can do more tasks〃
and the age of 〃Me and my machine can now talk to a few friends and some other people
in my company better and faster; so we can become more productive。〃 The walls had
fallen and the Windows had opened; making the world much flatter than it
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had ever been…but the age of seamless global communication had not dawned。
Though we didn't notice it; there was a discordant note in this exciting new era。
It wasn't only Americans and Europeans who joined the people of the Soviet Empire
in celebrating the fall of the wall…and claming credit for it。 Someone else was raising
a glass…not of champagne but of thick Turkish coffee。 His name was Osama bin Laden
and he had a different narrative。 His view was that it was the jihadi fighters in
Afghanistan; of which he was one; who had brought down the Soviet Empire by forcing
the Red Army to withdraw from Afghanistan (with some help from U。S。 and Pakistani
forces)。 And once that mission had been accomplished… the Soviets completed their
pullout from Afghanistan on February 15; 1989; just nine months before the fall of
the Berlin Wall…bin Laden looked around and found that the other superpower; the
United States; had a huge presence in his own native land; Saudi Arabia; the home
of the two holiest cities in Islam。 And he did not like it。
So; while we were dancing on the wall and opening up our Windows and proclaiming that
there was no ideological alternative left to free…market capitalism; bin Laden was
turning his gun sights on America。 Both bin Laden and Ronald Reagan saw the Soviet
Union as the 〃evil empire;〃 but bin Laden came to see America as evil too。 He did
have an ideological alternative to free…market capitalism…political Islam。 He did
not feel defeated by the end of the Soviet Union; he felt emboldened by it。 He did
not feel attracted to the widened playing field; he felt repelled by it。 And he was
not alone。 Some thought that Ronald Reagan brought down the wall by bankrupting the
Soviet Union through an arms race; others thought IBM; Steve Jobs; and Bill Gates
brought down the w
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